Example of Drift 💡

• In the English Premier League, West Ham is up against Everton.

West Ham has a 2.5 chance of winning, while Everton has a 2.75 chance of winning. As a result, the betting is relatively limited.

• The day before the game, West Ham’s in-form striker is diagnosed with the illness and is listed as a doubt.
• Bettors who believe Everton’s chances of winning have increased have begun to back the Toffees.
• The bookmaker must react by cutting (shortening) Everton’s odds as more money pours in. The bookmaker raises the odds on West Ham in order to rekindle interest in their side of the betting market. As a result, West Ham’s chances are dwindling (getting longer).

Bookmakers like bet365 will typically keep a careful eye on a few significant bettors, called dubbed “smart men”. They will use them as a guide on when to adjust the odds on specific bet selections. This has historically been especially true in horse racing when tips are handed about within a small circle of friends or colleagues.

When a bunch of recognized savvy men bet on a specific outcome, it’s a cue for the bookmaker to reduce the odds for that option and drift the odds elsewhere.

This frequently happens soon after the bets are placed. It allows the bookmaker to change the odds before the majority of the betting public has a chance to profit.

This approach is designed to protect the bookmaker from potential losses, but it may also be used to boost a punter’s bankroll. When the odds are skewed, a little study might help you choose a good bet among the available markets.

You should be able to find a suitable bet at the proper odds and earn a significant profit if you know the teams and how they play, especially against each other.

Identifying horses with decreasing probabilities 🐎

How can you tell if the odds are shortening or drifting? It’s critical to learn how to recognise horses with dwindling odds. In the run-up to a tournament, some players spend hours tracking the markets. A steamer is a horse with plummeting odds, although this might signify one of two things:

1. On the one hand, it may be a horse about whom the bookmaker has received fresh information, resulting in a change in odds.
2. It might also be a horse that the public likes, and the bookie has had to cut the odds to prevent having to pay out large sums due to the overabundance of bets.
3. It’s also possible that the horse’s genuine chances of winning haven’t altered at all. Instead, groups of individuals (typically on social media) post blogs and rumours to draw attention to the horse, generally in order to divert the public’s focus away from their own wager. Consider wagering against popular opinion in these situations.

Studying the markets, reading what is being said, and checking out the advise of tipsters are the greatest ways to uncover steamers and determine which horses with shorter odds are worth betting on. However, we have a few more suggestions for you, which we will discuss next.

You should be aware of the following top methods for reducing odds 🔔

Here are our best gambling advice for betting on shorter odds, as promised. They are as follows:

Tip: Pay a visit to a tipper. They typically have a decent grasp of where things stand, such as what the best odds margins are. They’ll also give you their best guess, known as a NAP. This is the quick response to the question, “What does NAP imply in betting?”

👉 Keep an eye out for non-runners. These have the potential to cause devastation. It’s possible that a horse’s odds have lowered because it’s set to be pulled.

👉 Always look for bookies who promise the best odds. While knowing how to read soccer odds is beneficial, learning about horse racing odds in particular can help you discover the best horses to back.

👉 To increase your profits, take advantage of guaranteed deals and hunt for betting companies that give cash out choices.

The Benefits and Drawbacks of Shortening Odds 📊

Every component of gambling has advantages and disadvantages, and odds shortening is no exception. Among the items on our list are:

PROS

• Shorter odds may increase your chances of winning

• Most bookmakers notify you when odds are reduced

• It also applies to live sports betting

CONS

• With shorter odds, your returns will be lesser

• Shortened odds may simply be bluster

Other related articles:

• Sharbing
• No lose betting
• Low odds vs high odds
• Betting terms